The Drake Equation at 60: Reconsidered and Abandoned [CL]

http://arxiv.org/abs/2105.03984


Each of the individual factors of the Drake Equation is considered. Each in turn is either abandoned or redefined and finally reduced to a single new factor, fd, the fraction of technological life that is detectable by any means. However, neither the Drake Equation, nor its replacement, can actually solve for N. Only a vibrant SETI program and, ultimately, contact with an alien civilization might result in the determination of N.

Read this paper on arXiv…

J. Gertz
Tue, 11 May 21
79/93

Comments: 27 pages, Accepted for publication to JBIS