http://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05878
Giant planets are expected to form at orbital radii that are relatively large compared to transit and radial velocity detections (>1 AU). As a result, giant planet formation is best observed through direct imaging. By simulating the formation of giant (0.3-5$M_{J}$) planets by core accretion, we predict planet magnitude in the near infrared (2-4 $\mu$m) and demonstrate that, once a planet reaches the runaway accretion phase, it is self-luminous and is bright enough to be detected in near infrared wavelengths. Using planet distribution models consistent with existing radial velocity and imaging constraints, we simulate a large sample of systems with the same stellar and disc properties to determine how many planets can be detected. We find that current large (8-10m) telescopes have, at most a 0.2% chance of detecting a core accretion giant planet in the L’ band and 2% in the K band for a typical solar type star. Future instruments such as METIS and VIKiNG have higher sensitivity and are expected to detect exoplanets at a maximum rate of 2% and 8% respectively.
A. Wallace and M. Ireland
Mon, 16 Sep 19
7/74
Comments: 12 pages, 13 figures, final revision submitted to MNRAS
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