http://arxiv.org/abs/1708.07008
Short duration GRBs (SGRBs) are widely believed to originate from neutron star mergers and the merger rate can be estimated via the observed GRB rate with the correction of the outflow half-opening angles. The jet breaks in the afterglow lightcurves of SGRBs, rarely detected so far, are crucial for such an approach. In this work we report the detection of jet decline behaviors in the late optical afterglows of GRB 150424A and GRB 160821B and find $\theta_{\rm j}\sim 0.1$ rad. Together with the four events (GRB 051221A, GRB 090426A, GRB 111020A and GRB 130603B) reported before 2015 and the other three “identified” recently (GRB 050709, GRB 060614 and GRB 140903A), we thus have a sample consisting of nine SGRBs (including one long-short event) with a reasonably estimated $\theta_{\rm j}$. In particular, three events in the sample are local (i.e., their redshifts are $\leq 0.2$), with which we can conservatively estimate the local neutron star merger rate density to be $\sim 130~{\rm Gpc^{-3}~yr^{-1}}$, and the real value is likely $\sim 10$ times higher, suggesting a detection rate $\sim 60~{\rm yr^{-1}}$ of advanced LIGO/Virgo in their full sensitivity runs. We also show that if the merger-driven relativistic ejecta are structured in a wide solid angle, the prompt emission of some very-nearby (i.e., {$\leq 200$ Mpc}) off-axis events may be detectable, leading to a GRB/GW association probability of $\sim 10\%$.
Z. Jin, X. Li, H. Wang, et. al.
Thu, 24 Aug 17
32/40
Comments: 21 pages, 7 figures
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