http://arxiv.org/abs/1605.06490
This study addresses thermal modeling of asteroids with a new derivation of the Near Earth Asteroid Thermal (NEATM) model which correctly accounts for the presence of reflected sunlight in short wave IR bands. Kirchhoff’s law of thermal radiation applies to this case and has important implications. New insight is provided into the eta parameter in the NEATM model and it is extended to thermal models besides NEATM. The role of surface material properties on eta is examined using laboratory spectra of meteorites and other asteroid compositional proxies; the common assumption that emissivity e=0.9 in asteroid thermal models may not be justified and can lead to misestimating physical parameters. In addition, indeterminacy in thermal modeling can limit its ability to uniquely determine temperature and other physical properties. A new curve fitting approach allows thermal modeling to be done independent of visible band observational parameters such as the absolute magnitude H. These new thermal modeling techniques are applied to observational data for selected asteroids from the WISE/NEOWISE mission. The previous NEOWISE analysis assumes Kirchhoff’s law does not apply. It also deviates strongly from established statistical practice and systematically underestimates the sampling error inherent in observing potentially irregular asteroids from a finite sample of observations. As a result, the new analysis finds asteroid diameter and other physical properties that have large differences from published NEOWISE results, with greatly increased error estimates. NEOWISE results have a claimed +/-10% accuracy for diameter estimates, but this is unsupported by any calculations and undermined by irregularities in the NEOWISE results. ABSTRACT CONTINUED IN PDF…
N. Myhrvold
Mon, 23 May 16
23/55
Comments: Longer abstract in PDF, due to the limitation “The abstract field cannot be longer than 1,920 characters.”
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